You Double-Ought to be in Syndication
by Al Burton
As TV enters the new millennium, it might pay to look back
before crossing the century mark.
After all, you’ve had a couple of confusing decades.
Remember the early 1980s, when you had just created the
next smart urban comedy, but the New York Times stopped you in your tracks by
proclaiming “situation comedy is dead.” (They sagely observed that sitcoms
had all fallen out of the top ten, and you shouldn’t go there.)
Then, in 1990, while putting the finishing touches to your
imaginative MOW based on the biography of that macho journalist, you were told
that the market was ordained to be limited to “women in jeopardy” and
biographies were henceforth DOA.
Maybe you were right not to have pursued your sitcom idea
about those wise-ass New Yorkers living in their highrises. Probably it was
smart that you didn’t waste time on the bio-flick of that high-flying
columnist who died broke. If you believe that, here is a warning from the
conventional wisdom of the new millennium: You’d better stay out of 1st-run
syndication!
As the calendar’s odometer turns to oughts, we observe
that NATPE in 1999 was very tough going. Shows were pulled back and scrapped.
Others were kept “in development” waiting for better time slot breaks, or a
chance for double and triple runs… maybe even the actual death of a newer
network. Another thing: if you didn’t have a judge in your series, you might
as well wait till broadband.
So what’s a person to do? We missed the chance to find a
new talk show host in Chicago, Cleveland or Dayton. We blew the opportunity to
put some heroes into deep space or to find a beach or cast a nerdo-brain in a
quiz show.
When it comes to NATPE 2000 (this coming January) the
current intelligence tells us that talk is out, action hours are oversold, game
shows have gone to cable, and really new ideas are too risky.
Hold on. It is just possible that opportunities in the
millennium and in syndication will deliver new and large financial fortunes to a
producer whose tenacity, salesmanship, originality and efficiency can pass the
test of fewer time slots but satisfactory rewards for success.
In the first year of the millennium (unless you’re a 2001
purist), the very fact that the prospects look chancier than ever, may mean that
this is the time to get in, not out.
The newer networks, Fox, WB and UPN, might seem to have
gobbled up all unaffiliated stations. But they have actually helped strengthen
many formerly independents, so that stations can get better numbers for the
shows on their air.
There are strong syndicators with great distribution
strengths. Tribune, Buena Vista, Eyemark, Telepictures and a dozen others
continue to look for product. The successful debuts of Judge Judy, Hercules and
V.I.P. (along with clones of each of these) give proof that there are still
clever ways to slip into syndication and score.
There are prime access spots - morning and afternoon and
even some select weekend needs - on every station.
For the creative, tenacious, savvy and innovative
entrepreneur, the new century will provide some tantalizing opportunities.
Genre Come Lately
When we hit the 21st century, we’ll find most first-run
offerings will still look like talk shows, judge (and court) shows,
“relationship” shows and “action” hours. Late night opportunities will
always exist, opening doors for comedic talent and inventive ways of mining the
news for laughs. A breakthrough game show will pop up, succeed and trigger as
many “me too’s” as Judge Judy has.
With the international market in mind, why not think about
an exotic, location-based, action series with one or two young international
stars (Enrique and/or Julio Iglesias Jr.?) or even an international sports name.
There are other millennium opportunities worth thinking
about. Take for instance the fact that, by 2006, all stations (read all
syndication projects) will be televising in digital, high-definition and
wide-screen formats. Shows produced for the start of the new century will carry
more values for the digital years if they are created now with that formatting
in mind. This doesn’t mean that you should think only of travel elements,
flowers and gardens or photo journalists who take striking pictures while
solving crimes in “Kodak moment” settings. But hey, it’s something to
think about.
It might be worth your own examination of what you
personally may contribute to a “retro” series, taking a slice from your
earlier life to create a premise or a franchise based on the earlier you. There
are fresh locations that still look like any period you might choose. The
‘50s, ‘60s, ‘70s and ‘80s still exist in many buildings and
neighborhoods. Shooting the series in digital and wide-screen, with your
personal stamp, will add sales value to a 2001 or 2002 sale.
If that’s not your style or interest, what’s wrong with
putting your mind to the very genres that are currently getting knocked by the
experts? “Talk shows are aging” and “court shows and judges will hit their
peak in this century,” are NATPE-heard quotes.
But I predict that the right casting mind, and a 21st
century twist, will excite the lamp on both “talk” and “court,” and 2001
debuts in these categories will make new syndication bucks and back-ends.
As industry soothsayers make dire predictions of
syndications choking into extinction, you might note that new alliances and new
international connections are constantly broadening the syndication
possibilities. The coming need for fresh digital product will open unpredictable
opportunities. The aging of other types of shows will mean a chance to slip
through the mass of product. With your unique, special property it may be the
series which will become the first, most copied genre of the oughts.
Al
Burton has a long history of creating and producing original programming for
both network first-run and syndication.